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Incidence and clinical predictors of Kaposi’s sarcoma among 1721 Italian solid organ transplant recipients: a multicenter study


European Journal of Dermatology. Volume 16, Numéro 5, 553-7, September-October 2006, Investigative report

DOI : 10.1684/ejd.2006.0029

Summary  

Auteur(s) : Gianpaolo Tessari, Luigi Naldi, Luigino Boschiero, Claudio Cordiano, Stefano Piaserico, Anna Belloni Fortina, Decio Cerimele, Ilaria Lesnoni La Parola, Maria Capuano, Eliana Gotti, Piero Ruggenenti, Fabrizia Sassi, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Giampiero Girolomoni , Section of Dermatology University of Verona, Piazzale A. Stefani 1, 37126, Verona, Centro Studi Gruppo Italiano di Studi Epidemiologici in Dermatologia, Ospedali Riuniti di Bergamo, Bergamo, Kidney Transplantation Center, University of Verona, Piazzale A. Stefani 1, 37126, Verona, Section of Dermatology, University of Padova, Padova, Section of Dermatology, University of Sassari, Sassari, Istituto Dermatologico San Gallicano, Roma, Istituto Dermatologico dell’Immacolata, IRCCS, Roma, Section of Nephrology, Ospedali Riuniti di Bergamo, Bergamo, Italy.

Illustrations

ARTICLE

Auteur(s) : Gianpaolo Tessari1, Luigi Naldi2, Luigino Boschiero3, Claudio Cordiano3, Stefano Piaserico4, Anna Belloni Fortina4, Decio Cerimele5, Ilaria Lesnoni La Parola6, Maria Capuano7, Eliana Gotti8, Piero Ruggenenti8, Fabrizia Sassi2, Giuseppe Remuzzi8, Giampiero Girolomoni1

1Section of Dermatology University of Verona, Piazzale A. Stefani 1, 37126, Verona
2Centro Studi Gruppo Italiano di Studi Epidemiologici in Dermatologia, Ospedali Riuniti di Bergamo, Bergamo
3Kidney Transplantation Center, University of Verona, Piazzale A. Stefani 1, 37126, Verona
4Section of Dermatology, University of Padova, Padova
5Section of Dermatology, University of Sassari, Sassari
6Istituto Dermatologico San Gallicano, Roma
7Istituto Dermatologico dell’Immacolata, IRCCS, Roma
8Section of Nephrology, Ospedali Riuniti di Bergamo, Bergamo, Italy

accepté le 24 Mai 2006

Kaposi’s sarcoma (KS) is a well-recognized complication of solid organ transplantation [1]. The tumor develops in 0.4% of Western renal transplant recipients, but at a much higher rate among patients of Arab, Jewish or Mediterranean ancestry. KS accounts for 3.4% of the malignancies found in renal transplant recipients (RTR). This is a hundred times higher than the percentage observed in the general population. Immunosuppressive therapy plays a major role in the development of KS in this group of patients. It has been reported that the introduction of cyclosporine A (CYA) and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) has led to a further increase in the incidence of KS among transplant recipients [2]. Dosage reduction or withdrawal of immunosuppressive drugs in RTRs is often followed by the regression of lesions, particularly when the disease is limited to the skin [3]. In addition to immunosuppression, other factors, such as genetic predisposition, environmental factors and viruses seem to be involved in a multifactorial pathogenic mechanism [4, 5]. DNA sequences of human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) have been repeatedly found in KS, including the post-transplant variety, indicating a role for this virus in KS pathogenesis [6-8]. Although several studies have documented a higher prevalence of classic KS in the Mediterranean area, limited data exist on incidence rate, timing of disease, and clinical correlates of post-transplant KS. We investigated the incidence and risk factors for KS in a cohort of solid organ transplant recipients followed up at four transplant centers in Italy.

Patients and methods

From 1997 to 2004, a series of 1721 consecutive organ (kidney, heart, and liver) transplant patients followed up at four Italian transplant centers (Verona, Bergamo, Padova, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Roma), were included. Clinical records were available for all the patients. Patients who survived less than 10 days after transplant and those with a pre-transplant history of cancer were excluded from the study. The diagnosis of KS was always confirmed by histological analysis. At the time of the study, no routine serologic screening for HHV8 was performed. For each patient the following data were recorded: age, sex, date of transplantation, immunosuppressive therapy, number of acute rejections requiring adjunctive immunosuppressive therapy, date of KS diagnosis, date and cause of loss from follow-up.

Immunosuppressive regimen

Long term maintenance immunosuppressive therapy showed some variations according to centers. It usually consisted of combinations of azathioprine (AZA; 1-2.5 mg/kg/day), cyclosporine (CYA; 3-9 mg/kg/day) with oral prednisolone (PRED; 5-10 mg/day). Dosages of tacrolimus ranged from 0.15 to 0.30 mg/kg/day bid when administered orally, regulated by periodic tests of blood levels (through level 10-15 μg/L). Dosage of MMF was 2 g /day. Acute rejection among heart transplant recipients (> 3A or more) was treated with three intravenous pulses of methylprednisolone (1 g/day for three consecutive days) according to the guidelines of the International Society of Heart and Lung Transplantation [9].

Statistical analysis

Cumulative incidence of the first episode of KS was computed. The number of person-year was computed between the date of transplantation (used as the opening date) and the date of KS diagnosis, the patient’s death, loss from follow-up or the end of the study in December 2004, which were used as the closing dates. Kaplan and Meier survival curves were initially constructed. Subsequently, for estimates of potential prognostic factors, a Cox’s proportional hazards regression model was applied. An assumption of Cox’s regression method is that the hazards for different strata of each independent variable are proportional over time. This assumption was verified using a graphical method. The survival curves for the variable strata were plotted on a log-log scale. If the curves were roughly parallel then the assumption of the proportional hazards was considered as satisfied. A backward stepping procedure with pre-assigned p values equal to 0.05 for removal of variables was used [10]. For KS, the expected number (standardized for sex, age, and area of residence) was computed using incidence rates from all population-based cancer registries of Italy for the period 1988-1992 [11]. Standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of KS was computed and was obtained by dividing the number of observed cases by the number of expected cases. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals (CI) of SIR were determined using the Poisson distribution [10].

Results

A total of 1721 patients were recruited, with 1220 males and 501 females. 1356 were RTR, 268 heart transplant recipients and 97 liver transplant recipients. The characteristics of the study population are reported in table 1( Table 1 ). KS was diagnosed in 40 patients (37 males and 3 females), after a median follow-up time of 1 year and a mean of 1.5 years ± 1.3 SD (range 0.8-5.1). Thirty three patients had only cutaneous KS and 7 had both cutaneous and visceral involvement. Of the 7 patients with visceral KS, 5 had gastrointestinal and lung involvement and 2 had regional lymph-node involvement. Four patients died of disseminated disease; one RTR survived after stopping immunosuppressive therapy but returned to dialysis; two survived after stopping cyclosporine and replacing it with rapamycin. The incidence rate of KS in the whole study population was 2.3 cases per 1000 person -year (95% CI 1.7-3.2). Of the 40 patients with KS, 35 were RTR and 5 were heart or liver transplant recipients. Incidence rates of KS did not significantly differ among the three groups (p = 0.113) (table 1). Due to the low number of patients with KS among nonrenal transplant recipients we decided to exclude nonrenal transplant patients from further statistical analysis.

The overall incidence rate of KS among RTR was 2.5 cases per 1 000 post-transplant person-year (95% CI 2.2-4.4). The incidence rate was higher among males than females (2.9 vs. 1.7 cases/1 000 post-transplant person-year) but the difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.168). The incidence rate decreased with the time elapsed since the date of the transplant from 12.9 cases per 1 000 post-transplant person-year (95% CI 8.6-19.2) within the first two years after transplantation to 2.7 cases per 1 000 post-transplant person-year in the third year (95% CI 1.3-5.8), and to 0.2 cases per 1 000 post-transplant person-year for patients with more than 4 years of follow-up (95% CI 0.1-1.2). The standardized incidence rate for KS was 149.9 (95% CI 103.0-212.0), but the excess risk was greater among women (316.0; 95% CI 116.0-688.0) than among men (133.6; 95% CI 87.0-196.0). Cumulative hazard of the KS among RTR is reported in ( figure 1 ). Cumulative incidence of KS at 1, 3, 5 and 10 years since transplantation was 1.2%, 2.4%, 3.2% and 3.2%, respectively. In univariate analysis, male sex, age at transplantation equal older than 30 years and only combined immunosuppressive regimen with MMF + CYA + PRED were found to be significantly associated with KS (table 2)( Table 2 ). We found no statistically significant relationship with the year of transplantation, use of anti-thymocyte globulins or OKT3 monoclonal antibodies, the number of treatments for acute rejections, the other immunosuppressive regimens and the geographic origin and residence (Northern, Central or Southern Italy). Grouping our patients in three new categories (AZA alone or plus immunosuppressive drugs other than MMF or CYA, MMF alone or plus other immunosuppressive drugs, other drugs not including AZA or MMF) did not show any significant differences (data not shown). Grouping the patients in two groups according to whether or not they received CYA gave no statistically significant results (data not shown). In the Cox proportional hazard regression model, age at transplantation equal or older than 30 years and only combined immunosuppressive therapy with MMF + CYA + PRED were independently associated with KS (table 2).
Table 1 Study population and KS incidence

Transplanted organ

Kidney

Heart

Liver

No of patients (males/ females)

1356 (920 /436)

268 (230 /38)

97 (70/27)

Mean ± SD age at transplantation (years)

38.4 ± 13.9

50.8 ± 12.8

45.2 ± 11.1

Mean ± SD follow-up time at the end of the study (years)

10.7 ± 6.3

11.1 ± 3.3

9.2 ± 2.3

(Range)

(0.2-25.1)

(0.2-19.4)

(0.3-16.5)

No of posttransplant person year

14051

2787

742

No of censored observations

121

0

0

Death

55

1

0

Chronic rejection of the graft

66

0

0

No of patients with KS

35

2

3

Incidence rate*

2.5

0.7

4.0

(95% CI) p = 0.113

(2.2-4.4)

(0.1-2.8)

(1.3-12.5)

Mean ± SD follow up time at the diagnosis of KS (years)

1.5 ± 1.2

1.6 ± 1.3

0.3 ± 0.2


Table 2 Incidence rates and risk factors for Kaposi sarcoma among renal transplant recipients [Univariate and multivariate analysis (Cox proportional hazard regression model)]

Univariate analysis

Cox proportional hazards regression model

No of KS/ total patients

I.R. (95% CI)

Hazard ratio (95% CI)

p

Hazard ratio (95% CI)

p

Age at transplantation

< 30 years

1/360

0.2 (0.0-1.7)

1*

1*

30-50 years

11/433

2.3 (1.4-4.0)

9.0 (3.6-22.5)

0.001

8.6 (1.1 - 67.5)

0.040

> 50 years

23/563

5.2 (3.4-8.0)

15.6 (7.3-24.6)

0.001

16.1 (2.2 -119.9)

0.007

Immunosuppressive therapy

AZA + CYA + PRED

9/516

1.7 (0.9- 3.4)

1*

1*

AZA + PRED

0/87

0.0

0.0

0.0

CYA + PRED

13/398

3.1 (1.8-5.3)

2.1 (0.9- 5.0)

0.082

2.0 (0.9-4.8)

MMF + PRED

0/14

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.106

MMF + CYA + PRED

10/201

8.0 (3.8-16.9)

3.4 (1.3- 8.6)

0.009

3.0 (1.2-7.5)

0.020

OTHER drugs

3/140

3.6 (1.7-7.6)

1.2 (0.3- 4.2)

0.828

0.8 (0.2 -3.0)

0.711

Acute rejections

3/109

0.3 (0.1-1.0)

0.064

0.4 (0.1-1.4)

0.165

ATG (yes vs. no)

2/37

1.3 (0.8- 2.2)

0.274

OKT3 (yes vs. no)

2/338

0.6 (0.2- 2.5)

0.492

Sex

Female

6/436

1.7 (0.7-3.4)

1*

1*

Male

29/920

2.9 (2.1-4.3)

2.2 (1.1-4.5)

0.054

2.0 (0.8-4.6)

0.111

Year of transplantation

< 1980

3/39

9.0 (2.3-36.0)

1*

1980-1984

0/98

0.0

0.0

1985-1989

6/205

4.6 (2.0-10.2)

0.5 (0.1-4.1)

0.456

1990-1994

11/412

4.4 (2.4-7.9)

0.6 (0.1-4.3)

0.687

1995-1999

13/472

4.6 (2.7-8.0)

0.6 (0.1-4.2)

0.494

> 2000

2/132

2.5 (0.6-10.1)

0.4 (0.0-3.8)

0.101

Transplantation center

Verona

5/260

1.5 (0.6-3.5)

1*

Bergamo

18/610

3.9 (2.5-6.1)

0.7 (0.3 -1. 7)

0.566

Padova

2/180

0.9 (0.2-3.7)

1.7 (0.5 -5. 9)

0.393

Roma

10/306

2.6 (1.5-5.1)

0.9 (0.3 -2. 7)

0.394

Place of birth and living

Northern Italy

21/775

5.0 (3.3-7.6)

1*

Central Italy

5/292

3.3 (1.2 - 8.8)

1.2 (0.3- 4.2)

0.74

Southern Italy

9/289

10.3 (5.3- 19.9)

0.8 (0.2- 4.0)

0.78

Discussion

In our group of RTR, incidence rate of KS was 2.5 cases per 1000 person-year, after a mean follow up time of 1.5 years. This rate was higher than expected in the general population. Incidence rates of KS in the whole Italian population during the time period of our study, were 2.4 cases per 100,000 person/year in males and 0.7 cases per 100,000 person/year in females [11]. Therefore, a 100 times higher risk for KS can be calculated for RTR. The excess risk was higher in females. Incidence rate was higher in the first two years and decreased markedly thereafter. Age at transplantation older than 30 years and only combined immunosuppressive therapy with MMF + CYA + PRED, were both independent risk factors for KS. The prevalence of KS among solid organ transplant recipients varies greatly with the geographic region. Three studies from the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and France reported prevalence of KS among organ transplant recipients varying from 0% to 0.52% [12-14]. In the Mediterranean area, KS was diagnosed only in 1.7% of 1055 Greek RTR and in only 0.49% of 1230 Spanish RTR [15, 16]. Percentages up to 5.3% were reported in Saudi Arabia [1]. The North Italian Transplant Program, described KS in 1.11% of RTR and in 0.84% of heart transplant recipients [17-19] In a recent study, Serraino observed KS in 1.2% of RTR. KS was nearly six times more frequent in patients from Southern Italy, as compared to those from Northern Italy, probably in relation to the different epidemiology of HHV-8 infection [20]. These data are in contrast with our findings, but in our study, the majority of patients were from Northern and Central Italy (table 2). As reported by Serraino, [20] we also detected an excess risk of KS in female RTR. There is no definitive explanation for this observation but it is possibly related to the low incidence of KS in nonimmunosuppressed women. KS was a relatively early appearing tumor, with most of the patients developing KS within the first two years after transplantation, confirming previous findings in other populations [2, 3]. In the Cincinnati Transplant Tumour Registry, 46% of the tumours appeared within one year of transplantation [2]. In the first year following the transplant, the incidence of KS can be 4.5-fold more frequent than after four or more years [20]. There is no definitive explanation for this observation, but the progressive reduction in the dosage of immunosuppressive drugs may have a role. As previously reported, age at transplantation older than 30 years appeared as the strongest independent risk factor for KS [20]. KS has complicated the use of all immunosuppressive agents, including the more recently introduced compounds, MMF and tacrolimus. In our study, the combined immunosuppressive therapy with MMF + CYA + PRED was an independent risk factor for KS. As reported in the Cincinnati Transplant Tumour Registry, up to 90% of the patients with KS had previously received CYA-based regimens [2]. In a historical Italian retrospective study, CYA-treated patients demonstrated a higher incidence of KS in comparison with AZA-based immunosuppression [21]. A higher incidence of lymphomas and other tumours, including KS, with unusually aggressive phenotypes has been correlated with CYA immunosuppression [22-24]. CYA has been reported to have also a proangiogenic activity, direct tumor promoting effects and to reduce DNA repair ability [23, 24]. In a clinical study, a maintenance immunosuppressive regimen with low doses of CYA was associated with fewer malignant disorders but more frequent rejections; in contrast normal dosage of CYA yielded less rejection but a higher incidence of cancer [25]. In a recent study, transplant recipients receiving CYA had an increased risk of KS after the switch from the old formulation to a new microemulsion formulation characterized by a higher bioavailability [26]. Conflicting reports exist about the risk associated with MMF. In three randomized double-blinded multicenter trials no increased incidence of KS was observed at 6 or 12 months after transplantation in patients receiving MMF when compared to standard immunosuppression [27-32]. However, the statistical power of these studies was limited to detect an increased tumor risk. A prospective observational study cohort from the United Network for Organ Sharing (USA) and Collaborative Transplant Study (Europe), and a review of 35,000 kidney transplantations in the USA showed that MMF was not independently associated with post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorders and other cancers [33, 34]. However, in all these studies KS occurrence was not the primary outcome. Conversely, in a cohort of 1835 renal transplant recipients, the onset of KS was reported in 0.81% of 371 patients treated with a MMF-based therapy and in 0.14% of 1464 patients treated with an MMF-free protocol. KS became evident 7 ± 2 months after initiation of MMF therapy [3]. The occurrence of a KS more than five years after transplantation, after replacing CYA with MMF has been reported [35]. Our study provided limited data about tacrolimus. Recent experimental studies demonstrate a higher proliferation rate of human hepatoma cells in the presence of tacrolimus [36]. After liver transplantation, patients on either tacrolimus or CYA based immunosuppression showed a similar increase in tumor incidence [24]. It is thus plausible to assume that the degree of immunosuppression by itself rather than the specific agents adopted may be responsible for the development of KS. Unfortunately, we were unable to collect information on the cumulative dosage of immunosuppressive drugs in our patients.

The complete regression of KS after stopping cyclosporine and replacing it with rapamycin has been reported [37]. Rapamycin has an antineoplastic action due to its anti-angiogenic effect, which is independent of its immunosuppressive activity [37]. We did not investigate the role of rapamycin in our study because only a few of our patients received this drug.

HHV-8 has been associated with all the forms of KS (classic, HIV related and iatrogenic). HHV-8 reactivation as a result of immunosuppressive treatment is probably the most relevant mechanism involved, but primary infection transmitted via organ transplantation has been also reported [1, 38]. Unfortunately, we could not obtain data about HHV-8 seroprevalence or actual presence of HHV-8 in KS lesions, as many patients had been transplanted before 1994, a time when no serologic assays of donors and recipients for HHV8 were available.

In conclusion, our findings confirm that organ transplant recipients in Italy are at high risk for KS, especially during the first two years after transplantation. Careful monitoring of transplant patients is therefore warranted. Further studies on larger multi-center cohorts should investigate the role of new immunosuppressive drugs taking into account cumulative dosage and interaction with other risk factors, i.e., viruses.

Acknowledgements

We gratefully acknowledge Dr. Diego Serraino from the Spallanzani Institute (Roma, Italy) for providing incidence rates of KS in Italy. This study was supported by a grant from the Banca Popolare di Verona e Novara, Verona, Italy.

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