ARTICLE
Auteur(s) : Etienne
Pilorgé1, Ryszard Kozlowski2, Davide
Viaggi3, Przemyslaw Baraniecki2
1CETIOM direction scientifique, Grignon, France
2Institute of Natural Fibres, Poznan, Poland
3Department of Agricultural Economics and Engineering,
University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
EUROCROP is a coordination action of the 6th PCRD
(FP6-2004-SSP-4), involving the stakeholders and actors concerned
by arable crops in Europe, which aims to propose research
orientations to improve the competitiveness of the sector at the
2015 horizon, i.e. after the next CAP reform. To reach this
objective, EUROCROP works at both strategic and scientific levels
in order to build common visions of future and research priorities.
The EUROCROP project ends in December 2008 and will hold its final
conference in Brussels in October 2008 to present its
recommendations for arable crops research.
Arable crops competitiveness?
For EUROCROP, the notion of competitiveness refers to the thinking
frame of sustainable agriculture, and includes both economic
competitiveness and compliance with environmental and social
standards.
For its current works, EUROCROP distinguishes two main levels of
competitiveness:
- 1. The economic competitiveness, which refers to a more
or less short/medium term approach, with two sub entries:
- – economic competitiveness of Arable crops at farm level
in EU countries (a crop versus other crops, arable crops versus
other land uses) assuming the respect of current regulations when
enforced;
- – economic competitiveness of EU arable crops on
markets: meeting the demand of industries and consumers (as
quantities, quality, specifications aspects, regularity of the
production, sales prices…).
- 2. The sustainability and cross compliance which
constitute a medium term/ long term approach and rests upon
assessment through indicators. This entry focuses on meeting
society need, with a higher attention to social and environmental
issues.
EUROCROP considers 8 arable crop chains, which received
subsidies under the EU Common Agricultural Policies: Cereals (major
and secondary), oilseeds crops, sugar-beet, Fibre crops, Potatoes,
legumes crops, maize. More widely, it considers arable crops
farming systems in their regional and global contexts (figure 1).
The arable crop chains may be considered as value chains whose
activity presents positive or negative impacts on horizontal
categories which correspond to public goods and involve some major
groups of stakeholders (figure 1).
General organisation of the project
It is the reason why, to meet its goals, EUROCROP uses a
cross-cutting approach, first by arable crop (cereals, oilseeds,
sugar beets, fibre crops, potatoes, grain legumes and maize), and
second by transversal elements of the competitiveness including
technical aspects at farming level, farm economics and production
costs, outlets and markets, quality of agricultural products,
environmental impacts and socio-economic issues (figure 2).
EUROCROP brings together concerned stakeholders and actors, to
reach a collective analysis through the elaboration of scenarios
and the definition of main stakes and challenges for the arable
crops sector. EUROCROP partnership includes organisations using
research, including farmers’ organisations, and organisations
providing research, innovation and extension services. Stakeholders
and representative organizations of civil society in the field of
environment preservation and consumer advocate are integrated in
the partnership of the project, and act especially in the Project
Advisory Committee (PADCO).
As shown in the figure 3, EUROCROP works on
two interactive levels.
In WP1, a strategic thinking has been developed, using basic
foresight approaches at 2015 horizon, in 3 steps:
- – Identification of the main challenges to guarantee the
AC competitiveness in 2015 future;
- – Building scenarios for context;
- – Ranking in priorities the research areas in coherence
with the scenarios.
At scientific level (WP2 and WP3) the identification of priority
areas have been carried out through:
- – a preparatory work on the present research status and
knowledge organized to take into consideration; the main challenges
and the weaknesses of AC;
- – identifying priority research areas and research
challenges to fill the gap (experts groups);
- – describing briefly the research areas deliverables.
What is the thinking frame for EUROCROP?
The consensus description of the arable crops context elaborated
during the first year of the project could be summarized in the
next figure (figure
4), which shows the main dimensions and factors which have
to be taken into account to imagine the future challenges to the
arable crops sector.
This representation includes 5 external dimensions (Social and
economics aspects IN EU, EU outlets and demand/World level markets
and trade/Policies and regulations/Environment/agriculture near
context, rural socio economics) and 1 internal dimension. These
dimensions are used to identify challenges and elaborate scenarios,
constituting “visions of the future”, and used to elaborate
research strategies.
Preliminary outcome
The EUROCROP team reached a consensus to consider 4 scenarios,
considered as relevant, coherent and plausible. They have no
prevision dimension, do not pretend to cover all possibilities, but
are only thinking frames used in some kind of “stress studies”
allowing to determine what are the challenges which appear to be
common to all scenarios, or part of them, and what challenges
appear to be specific to a scenario or a situation, thus helping in
making priorities. The interest of this approach lays in the fact
that it permits to take into account several futures and seems to
give chances to avoid critical gaps in making choices and better
cover a single but uncertain future. It seems interesting to notice
that the scenario which was considered as the most probable at the
beginning of the group activity in 2006, is not anymore a tendency
in 2008. Making strategies on a unique vision of future may reveal
hazardous.
These 4 contrasted scenarios are:
- – SC1: “WTO agreement and expensive energy”, going on with
the liberal world market logics: a WTO agreement is reached, the
dominant agricultural model is clearly a productive business
agriculture, the CAP is strongly reduced but its orientations are
kept, in a context of sustained economic growth.
- – SC2: “Europe of regions”: no WTO agreement is reached,
but the dominant logic remains a liberal one with a double
regionalisation: in bilateral agreements and in an increased
autonomy of EU regions. The CAP is reduced and decentralized to
“regions”, on increased Subsidiarity bases. Many agricultural
models (led by environment, leisure and tourism, local
agro-industries, energy production…), emerge from territorial
projects and coexist.
- – SC3: “High environmental performance, green Europe”: In
this scenario, a growing concern about health and environment in
opinion becomes a major driver of public policies. The CAP is
reoriented to support the “Health & Environment Performing
agriculture” (HEP) model. The context is a low economic growth with
no WTO agreement.
- – SC4: “challenge of global warming”: Global warming
becomes sensible and leads the policies. CAP is reoriented to meet
the triple necessity to “feed the world”, produce energy and manage
natural resources. A WTO agreement is reached.
Hypotheses were made on food and biofuels development aspects,
and world demand in the different scenarios. No scenario considers
low costs of energy and/or at the 2015, and consensus has been
reached to consider globally high production costs and products
prices.
In parallel, the activity of the thematic working groups by crop
chains and horizontal issues permitted to identify a number of 36
challenges for arable crops, each of them covering several research
goals and topics.
The 36 challenges have been assessed in the frame of each
scenario.
At last, 4 of them appear to be a high level priority in the 4
scenarios:
- – ensuring food safety;
- – improving resource use efficiency: energy;
- – improving resource use efficiency: water;
- – ensure an effective crop protection in the long term
(integrated crop protection).
Four other challenges have a high priority in 3 scenarios at
least, or high/medium in the 4 scenarios:
- – increase level and stability of yields;
- – technical and economic optimisation by innovating
sustainable Cropping Systems;
- – adaptation of production systems and crop rotations
according to changes in farming framework conditions;
- – improving resource use efficiency: nutrients.
Then other challenges appear common to 2 scenarios with a high
level of priority or to 3 with a medium level of priority:
- – managing risks for EU farmers;
- – developing Non food/ non feed uses;
- – maintain and improve soil quality;
- – integrating different sustainability concerns in the
design and implementation of innovative cropping systems;
- – developing common sustainability assessment
methods;
- – reinforcing entrepreneurship and innovation capacity
of AC systems;
- – achieving a positive public perception of arable crops
systems.
Three others challenges appear as a priority for one scenario
only, but in pole position, and constitute subsidiary challenges,
as:
- – minimize greenhouse gas emissions per unit of
product;
- – improving the integration of arable crops into rural
territories and economies;
- – developing strategies to face climate diversity and
climate change.
These results will be refined taking into account the
integration level of the different challenges, and comparisons made
with current researches or existing recommendations.
The working groups also developed detailed descriptions of 66
research topics as answers to the main challenges and goals
identified.
A dominant feature of the topics identified is the need for
flexibility to adapt to changes in the environment (climate),
policy and economic conditions. Rather than to specific scenarios,
this vision is attached to the idea of a rapidly changing and often
unpredictable context.
The developments of commodity markets in recent years, as well
as new climate concerns, energy cost and Cap reforms have
considerably strengthened such insights.
Difficulties to build a systematic approach to deal with arable
crops research derive from the number of interlinkages among
issues, from potential different categorisation of the problems and
from the large amount of existing research in the field.
Consistent research proposals need to take into account such
issues, in particular devising strategies to build new high value
information, while at the same time supporting the exploitation of
existing research to support the competitiveness of the system.
|