ARTICLE
Auteur(s) :, Hui-Fen Chiu1, Chih-Cheng
Chen2, Shang-Shyue Tsai3, Trong-Neng
Wu4, Chun-Yuh
Yang5,*
1Department of Pharmacology, Kaohsiung Medical
University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
2Section of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics,
Kaohsiung Chang- Gung Medical Center, Kaohsiung County, Taiwan
3Department of Health Care Administration, I-Shou
University, Kaohsiung County, Taiwan
4Institute of Environmental Health Science, National
Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
5Institute of Public Health, Kaohsiung Medical
University, Taiwan
Introduction
The sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) has been defined since 1970
as “the sudden death of any infant which is unexpected by history
and in which a thorough postmortem examination fails to demonstrate
an adequate cause of death” [1]. SIDS remains a leading cause of
death during the first year of life. It accounts for 20% of the
total infant mortality in Taiwan. The death rate of SIDS was 0.67
per 1000 live births in 1997 [2]. There is a substantial
geographical variation in SIDS death rates within the country [3].
Such geographical distribution may suggest an environmental risk
factor.
A hypothesis published in 1972 by Caddell compared the
epidemiology of SIDS with that of magnesium deficiency and
suggested that SIDS may be due to magnesium deficiency shock [4].
This was the first time that the possibility that magnesium deficit
may play a role in the pathogenesis of SIDS was taken into
consideration.
SIDS may be due to a magnesium dependent disease of infant
thermoregulation caused by the fetal consequences of maternal
deficiency, which might be prevented by simple atoxic nutritional
magnesium intake by the mother [5]. In a recent review, Durlach et
al. [6] proposed a theory that various stresses in pregnant women
or in the infant may transform a simple magnesium deficiency into
magnesium depletion which may not be cured by taking a nutritional
magnesium supplement, but requires a correction of its causal
dysregulation. Nevertheless, there are sparse epidemiologic data to
support these hypotheses. An inverse correlation between the
magnesium concentration in drinking water and SIDS has been shown
in one study [7] and two studies have reported a significant
negative correlation between infant mortality and the drinking
water hardness [8, 9].
In our previous studies, we found that there is a decreased
risk, with an increasing magnesium level in drinking water, of
gastric cancer [10], prostate cancer [11], breast cancer [12],
stroke [13], hypertension [14], diabetes mellitus [15], ovarian
cancer [16], and delivering a child of very low birth weight [17].
The objective of this study was to study the relationship between
the levels of magnesium in drinking water and the risk of death
from SIDS.
Methods
Study area
Taiwan is divided into 361 administrative districts, which will be
referred to herein as municipalities. Excluded from the analysis
were 30 aboriginal townships and 9 islets which had different
life-styles and living environments. This elimination of unsuitable
municipalities left 322 municipalities.
Subject selection
Data on all deaths of Taiwan residents from 1988 through 1997 were
obtained from the Bureau of Vital Statistics of the Taiwan
Provincial Department of Health, which is in charge of the death
registration system in Taiwan. For each death, detailed demographic
information, including sex, year of birth, year of death, cause of
death, place of death (municipality), and residential district
(municipality) were recorded on computer tapes. The case group
consisted of all deaths from SIDS (International Classification of
Disease, ninth revisions [ICD-9], code 798) that occurred between
28 and 364 days of age. The possible control group members
consisted of all deaths from injury and poisoning ([ICD-9] codes
E800-E999).
Control subjects were pair-matched to the cases by sex, month
and year of birth. Each matched control was selected randomly from
the set of possible controls for each case. To be eligible, all
study subjects needed to have residence and place-of-death in the
same municipality.
Each Taiwanese has his or her own unique personal identification
number. Using this number, we linked the mortality database with
the birth certificate database, identifying the following
information for each study subject: maternal age, education level
and marital status, and infant birth weight, gestational age, birth
order, gender, and birth place.
Registration of births is required by law in Taiwan. It is the
responsibility of the parents or the family concerned to register
infant births at a local household registration office within 15
days. Computerized data on live births were obtained from the
Household Registration System which is managed by the Department of
the Interior. The registration forms, which ask for information on
maternal age, education, parity, gestational age, date of delivery,
infant sex, and birth weight, are completed by the physicians
attending the deliveries. Since most deliveries in Taiwan take
place in either a hospital or clinic [18] and the birth
certificates are completed by physicians attending the delivery,
and since it is mandatory to register all live births at local
household registration offices, the birth registration data are
considered to be complete and accurate. This dataset has been used
in our earlier studies [19, 20].
Magnesium levels in drinking water
Information on the level of magnesium in each municipality’s
treated drinking water supply was obtained from the Taiwan Water
Supply Corporation (TWSC) [21], to which each waterworks is
required to submit drinking water quality data, including the level
of magnesium. They also conduct routine water analyses to assess
the suitability of water for drinking from both the sources and at
various points in the distribution system. Four finished water
samples, one for each season, were collected from each waterworks.
The samples were analyzed by the waterworks laboratory office using
spectrophotometric methods. Since the laboratory office examines
magnesium levels on a routine basis using standard methods, it was
thought that the problem of analytical variability was minimal.
Among the 322 municipalities, 70 were excluded as they were
supplied by more than one waterworks and the exact population
served by each waterworks could not be determined. Their details
have already been described in earlier publications [10-17]. The
final complete data consisted of magnesium data from 252
municipalities. Levels of magnesium in water remain reasonably
constant for long periods of time [22]. The data collected were the
annual mean levels of magnesium for the year 1995. The municipality
of residence for all cases and controls was identified from death
certificates and was assumed to be the source of the subject’s
magnesium exposure via drinking water. The levels of magnesium of
that municipality were used as an indicator of exposure to
magnesium for an individual residing in that municipality.
Statistics
The Statistical Analysis System (SAS) system was used to perform
the statistical analyses. A conditional logistic regression model
was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence
intervals (95% CIs) in relation to the magnesium levels in drinking
water [23]. All ORs were adjusted for maternal age (< 25, ≥ 25
years), maternal education (< 12, ≥ 12 years), urbanization
level of residence (metropolitan, city, town, rural), gestational
age (< 37 weeks, ≥ 37 weeks), birth weight (< 2500 g, ≥
2500g), and birth order (first, second to fourth). We calculated
crude and adjusted ORs and their 95% CIs for three categories of
magnesium levels: ≥ 14.1 mg/L (above the 75th percentile), 8.4-13.5
mg/L (study area median to the 75th percentile), ≤ 8.3 mg/L (below
the median of the study municipalities) using the group with the
lowest magnesium levels as the reference group. All statistical
tests were two-sided. Values of p < 0.05 were considered
statistically significant.
Results
A total of 501 SIDS cases with complete records were collected for
this study. Of the 501 cases, 287 were male and 214 were female.
The mean magnesium concentration in the drinking water was 9.69
mg/L for the cases, and 11.46 for the controls. Cases were born in
municipalities in which 92.6% of the population was served by a
waterworks. For controls this number was 89.8%. There was no
noticeable difference between the case and the control groups with
respect to birth order, birth place, marital status of the mother,
education of the mother, and mortality season. Cases had
significantly higher rates of being born in metropolitan
municipalities, being born with a low birth weight (< 2500 g),
and being born with a shorter gestational age (< 37 weeks).
Mothers of cases had a lower rate (27.3%) of young maternal age
than the controls mothers (33.9%) (table 1( Table 1 )).
table 2( Table 2 ) shows the numbers
of cases and controls and ORs in relation to magnesium levels in
drinking water. The crude ORs were significantly lower than 1.0 for
the group with the highest levels of magnesium in their drinking
water. Adjustments for possible confounders (including maternal
age, urbanization levels of residence, gestational age, and birth
weight) only slightly altered the ORs. The group with the highest
magnesium levels (≥ 14.1 mg/L) had an OR which remained
significantly less than 1.0 (0.70, 95% CI = 0.51-0.97). In
addition, there was a significant trend toward a decreased SIDS
risk with increasing magnesium levels in drinking water
(X2 for linear trend = 12.83, p < 0.05).
Table 1 Some characteristics of the study population
|
Characteristics
|
Cases
|
Controls
|
P value
|
|
Total subjects
|
501
|
501
|
|
|
Enrollment municipality
|
252
|
252
|
|
|
Mean magnesium concentration (mg/L) (SD)
|
9.69 ± 6.74
|
11.46 ± 7.64
|
< 0.001
|
|
Sex of infant (%)
|
|
Male
|
287 (57.3)
|
287 (57.3)
|
|
|
Female
|
214 (42.7)
|
214 (42.7)
|
|
|
Drinking water served by waterworks (%)
|
92.6±12.8
|
89.8 ± 16.3
|
< 0.001
|
|
Urbanization level of residence (%)a
|
|
Metropolitan
|
264 (52.7)
|
187 (37.3)
|
|
|
City
|
97 (19.3)
|
118 (23.5)
|
|
|
Town
|
102 (20.4)
|
128 (25.6)
|
|
|
Rural
|
38 (7.6)
|
68 (13.6)
|
< 0.001
|
|
Mortality seasonb(%)
|
|
Cool
|
352 (70.3)
|
326 (65.1)
|
|
|
Warm
|
149 (29.7)
|
175 (34.9)
|
0.079
|
|
Maternal age (yr) (%)
|
|
< 25
|
137 (27.3)
|
170 (33.9)
|
|
|
≥ 25
|
364 (72.7)
|
331 (66.1)
|
0.024
|
|
Maternal marital status (%)
|
|
Married
|
488 (97.4)
|
488 (97.4)
|
|
|
Unmarried
|
13 (2.6)
|
13 (2.6)
|
1.00
|
|
Maternal education (%)
|
|
< 12 yr
|
425 (84.8)
|
432 (86.2)
|
|
|
≥ 12 yr
|
76 (15.2)
|
69 (13.8)
|
0.530
|
|
Birthweight (g) (%)
|
|
≥ 2500
|
430 (85.8)
|
465 (92.8)
|
|
|
< 2500
|
71 (14.2)
|
36 (7.2)
|
< 0.001
|
|
Gestational age (weeks) (%)
|
|
≥ 37
|
439 (87.6)
|
468 (93.4)
|
|
|
< 37
|
62 (12.4)
|
33 (6.6)
|
< 0.001
|
|
Birth order (%)
|
|
First child
|
171 (34.1)
|
152 (30.3)
|
|
|
Second to fourth
|
330 (65.9)
|
349 (69.7)
|
0.199
|
|
Birth place (%)
|
|
Hospital/clinic
|
500 (99.8)
|
499 (99.6)
|
|
|
Other
|
1 (0.20)
|
2 (0.40)
|
0.999
|
aThe urbanization level of each municipality was based
on the urban-rural classification scheme of Tzeng and Wu [44].
bcool season = April-September; warm season =
October-March.
Table 2 Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for
sudden infant death syndrome by magnesium levels in drinking water,
1988-1997
|
Magnesium, mg/L (median)
|
|
|
|
|
|
No. of cases
|
273
|
127
|
101
|
|
No. of controls
|
227
|
125
|
149
|
|
Crude odds ratios
|
1.0
|
0.84(0.62-1.14)
|
0.57(0.42-0.78)
|
|
Adjusted odds ratios*
|
1.0
|
0.94(0.68-1.30)
|
0.70(0.51-0.97)
|
|
|
X2 for trend = 12.83, p < 0.05
|
Discussion
This study uses a death certificate-based case-control approach and
drinking water quality ecologic study to examine the relationship
between SIDS mortality and magnesium levels in drinking water in
Taiwan. The results of the present study show that there seems to
be a significant protective effect of magnesium intake from
drinking water on the risk of SIDS.
The individual magnesium exposureARRAY(0x22afbc) from drinking
water used in this study is the levelARRAY(0x22afe0) of magnesium
of that municipality in which the individual resided. Information
on the outcomes and covariates, however, was collected from
individual death or birth records. This study design is
semi-individual, which is considered a valid design as compared
with tradition ecological studies [24].
Despite inherent limitations [25], studies of the ecological
correlation between mortality and environmental exposures have been
used widely to generate or discredit epidemiological hypotheses.
Before any conclusion based on such a mortality analysis is made,
however, the completeness and accuracy of the death registration
system should be evaluated. In the event of death in Taiwan, the
deceased’s family is required to obtain a death certificate from
the hospital or local community clinic, which then must be
submitted to the household registration office in order to cancel
the deceased’s household registration. The death certificate is
required in order to have the deceased’s body buried or cremated.
Since the death certificates have to be completed by physicians and
it is mandatory to register death certificates at local household
registration offices, the death registration in Taiwan is
considered to be reliable and complete. Although causes of death
may be misdiagnosed and/or misclassified, the problem has been
minimized through the improvement in the verification and
classification for causes of death in Taiwan since 1972. Also since
a physician’s diagnosis is based on professional knowledge and
experience, his or her diagnosis is unlikely to be influenced by
the deceased’s residence (i.e., deceased’s magnesium exposure).
Furthermore, Taiwan is a small island with a convenient
communication network, and the accessibility of medical service
facilities is comparable among study municipalities. It is believed
that the diagnosis of SIDS is in general reliable and mortality
data differences between municipalities in this study do not appear
to result from bias related to disease misclassification. Also, any
misclassification should be non-differential with regard to the
exposure, thus introducing a bias towards the null.
The recommended dietary amount (RDA) of magnesium is about 350
mg/day for adults [26-28]. In the general population, the major
proportion of magnesium intake is through food, and a smaller
proportion is through drinking water [29]. Nonetheless, in the
modern world intake of dietary magnesium is often lower than the
RDA [26]. Taiwan is an island nation and its people have access to
an abundant supply of seafood. Seafood is also a major source of
magnesium. There are no available data about the mean daily intake
of dietary magnesium in the present study. However, seafood is more
expensive than other foods in Taiwan and is not a mainstay in most
resident’s daily diet. Therefore we think that the people of Taiwan
have a slightly deficient diet and also we assume that their
dietary magnesium intake is less than the recommended amount.
Magnesium, which is mainly intracellularly concentrated, is
reduced during pregnancy [30], i.e., there is a pregnancy-induced
hypomagnesemia because the formation of new tissue (maternal and
fetal) during pregnancy requires a higher magnesium
intakeARRAY(0x21b058) than that of the normal nonpregnant woman of
a comparable age [30]. Therefore during pregnancy additional
magnesium is needed. The recommended daily allowance for dietary
magnesium during pregnancy seems little higher than RDA [26-28,
31], but most pregnant women do not obtain enough of the required
amounts. The fetus is more severely affected than the mother by
maternal magnesium deficiency [5]. Infants born to ethnic groups
whose mothers have traditionally high dietary magnesium have lower
rates of SIDS, while infants born to ethnic groups whose mothers
have low dietary magnesium have higher rates of SIDS [32]. This
finding confirms the importance of maternal magnesium intake in
protecting the offspring from SIDS [6].
Ashe et al. [33] observed that in middle-class pregnant women,
the magnesium intake was only 270 mg/day, which is 60% of the
recommended allowance of pregnant women (450 mg/day). If the mean
daily dietary intake of magnesium of pregnant women is 270 mg/day
(60% of the RDA) in Taiwan, and if we assume that people drank an
average of 2 liters of water per day, the percentage of magnesium
contribution from water for residents in municipalities with the
highest water magnesium levels (median, 17.6 mg/L) is about 13%
(35.2/270). The percentages would be 6.9% (18.6/270) for the group
residing in areas with water magnesium levels between 8.4 and 13.5
mg/L (median, 9.3 mg/L) and 3.8% (10.2/270) for the group in areas
with water magnesium levels of 8.3 mg/L or less (median, 5.1 mg/L).
The relative contribution of water magnesium would be even more
important among persons with lower dietary intakes of magnesium.
The fact that a significantly protective effect of magnesium intake
via drinking water was found in the group with the highest levels
of intake suggested that only subjects with magnesium intake via
drinking water above a certain level receive a beneficial effect on
their risk of SIDS.
The question has been raised of how the relatively small intake
of magnesium via drinking water can have critical significance for
the amount of magnesium in the body. However a recent review which
dealt with waterborne magnesium at a level of about 10 percent of
the total daily magnesium intake supported this hypothesis [34]. It
may be that magnesium in water, which appears as hydrated ions, is
more easily absorbed than magnesium in food [26, 35]. It is also
possible that waterborne magnesium could correct an insufficient
dietary magnesium level [36]. Nutritionists and pharmacologists
should conduct studies using quantitative pharmacokinetic models to
suggest how it would be possible to become substantially depleted
with a slightly deficient diet. Additionally, studies should
examine how waterborne magnesium could have such a marked effect
when it constitutes only a small percentage of total intake [34].
There are a number of major risk factors for SIDS in Taiwan,
including maternal age, maternal education, birth order, low birth
weight, and prematurity [37], which should be taken into account
when investigating the possible role of an additional factor
(magnesium levels in drinking water). In this study, we found a
significant protective effect of magnesium intake from drinking
water on the risk of SIDS after controlling for the above mentioned
variables.
Several stresses, including parental smoking, maternal
alsoholism, bottle feeding, sleeping position, bedding, and
wrapping, may be associated with maternal magnesium deficiency
which may induce SIDS in various subgroups with magnesium depletion
[6]. There is unfortunately no information available on these
variables for individual study subjects and they could not be
adjusted for directly in the analysis. However, there is no reason
to believe that there would be any correlation between these
confounders and the levels of magnesium in drinking water. It is
also unlikely that there would be a direct relationship between
other risk factors and the level of magnesium in drinking water. We
think that the degree to which not controlling for other causal or
protective factors may have affected our results is not
significant.
Mobility from a municipality of high magnesium levels to one
with low magnesium exposure or vice versa could have introduced
misclassification bias or bias in our risk estimates [38-40]. Two
american studies reported that about 25% [41] and 37% [42] of women
moved during pregnancy. No data were available about the proportion
of women who have moved during pregnancy in Taiwan. However, this
misclassification of exposure is most likely to be nondifferential
(random), which would be more likely to reduce the observed
magnitude of association than to introduce a positive bias in the
association. For polytomous exposure categorizations,
nondifferential misclassification could also attenuate or
obliterate a true trend [43].
Conclusions
In summary, the results of the present study show that there is a
significant trend towards a decreased risk of SIDS with an
increasing Mg level in drinking water. This is an important finding
for the Taiwan water industry and human risk assessment. Future
studies should use precise estimates of the individual’s intake of
magnesium, through both food and water.
Acknowledgments
This study was partly supported by a grant from the National
Science Council, Executive Yuan, Taiwan (NSC-89-2320-B-037-023).
The authors gratefully acknowledge the Taiwan Water Supply
Corporation for supplying the data on the magnesium levels in
drinking water in Taiwan.
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