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Changes from mid-1980s to late 1990s among clinical and demographic correlates of melanoma thickness


European Journal of Dermatology. Volume 13, Number 1, 72-5, January - February 2003, Cas cliniques


Summary  

Author(s) : Emanuele Crocetti, Paolo Carli, U.O Epidemiologia Clinica e Descrittiva, CSPO, Via di San Salvi 12, 50135 Florence, Italy..

Summary : Tumour thickness is the most relevant prognostic factor for cutaneous melanoma. Although the increasing incidence of melanoma is currently attributable to "thin" lesions, the incidence rates of "thick" melanomas have not declined. We want to identify the clinical and demographic characteristics of patients that are associated with diagnosis of thick (> 3 mm) cutaneous melanoma and whether they had changed from mid-1980s to late-1990s. Cutaneous malignant melanomas incidence in 1985-87 and in 1995-97 were retrieved from the Tuscany Cancer Registry, central Italy. Only cases with Breslow-thickness information (182/260 in 1985-87 and 387/490 in 1995-97) were included. Thickness was categorised in < = 1 mm, 1-3 mm and > 3 mm. Thickness was evaluated for each period of time according to gender, age, histological type, site and residence. For cases diagnosed in 1995-97 the effect of such variables in predicting the risk of a thick tumour (vs. a thin one) was analysed in a logistic model. In 1985-87 patients with thick melanoma were more likely to be — with a statistically significant difference — males (38.1 % of thick tumours) than females (19.4 %), over 70 (57.7 % of thick tumour), with nodular melanoma (62.1 %) and residents far from the city of Florence (30.3 %); no differences were evidenced according to site. From 1985-87 to 1995-97 there was a global shift towards thinner melanomas. In 1995-97 nodular type and old age were the only variables significantly associated with thick melanomas when other factors were taken into account in a multivariate analysis. According to most recent data, early detection activities should be focused on older patients and on nodular histotype. Male sex and residence was no longer found to be associated with late melanoma diagnosis.

Keywords : melanoma, thickness, risk factors

ARTICLE

The incidence of cutaneous melanoma is increasing mainly due to "thin", i.e. &le; 1 mm, forms [1-5] as a probable consequence of the extension of early diagnosis activities. However, in Australia as in other parts of the world the incidence of thick melanoma is increasing slightly or — at least — stable [6]. Since tumour thickness is the most relevant prognostic factor for skin melanoma [7, 8], the knowledge of factors associated with this subset of lesions is of straightforward importance in refining criteria for melanoma prevention. According to studies carried out in predominantly fair-skinned populations, at high risk for melanoma, thick lesions are diagnosed more often among old patients [9-15], especially males [9, 10, 13-15], in nodular histotype [9-12, 14, 15] and in the head and neck [9, 10, 12, 13, 16, 17].

The aim of the present paper was to investigate, in a Mediterranean area, clinical and demographic factors associated with the diagnosis of a thick melanoma in a registry-based study and to evaluate the changes which occurred over time.

Methods

Data were retrieved from the archives of the Tuscany Cancer Registry — RTT, a population-based cancer registry active in the provinces of Florence and Prato (about 1,180,000 residents in the 1991 census), central Italy, since 1985. The description of the criteria for collection, registration and analysis followed by the Registry has been presented elsewhere [18]. Briefly, the registry collects from the Regional Health Authorities the database of hospital discharge notes, relative to residents in the Region, from all the public Italian hospitals. When necessary, general practitioners are also involved. Pathological reports are collected from all the pathological departments active in the registry area and from the main ones of the region. Death certificates of resident subjects are retrieved from the Regional Mortality Registry.

Breslow thickness was categorised into three classes, <  = 1 mm, 1-3.00, > 3 mm. The 3 mm cut-off was chosen in agreement with previous studies [11, 12, 15].

The association of thickness categories was evaluated according to the following variables:

Gender: males and females

Age: 0-30, 31-50, 51-70 and > 70 years.

Morphological type: nodular (NM), superficial spreading (SSM) and nos (not otherwise specified) & other types. The latter category was grouped because of low numbers and included in 1985-87, 23 not otherwise specified (nos) melanoma, 9 lentigo maligna, 3 epithelioid and spindle cell melanoma, 1 spindle cell, 1 malignant melanoma in junctional nevus, and in 1995-97, 51 nos melanoma, 8 lentigo maligna, 2 epithelioid cell melanoma, 2 spindle cell, 1 malignant melanoma in junctional nevus.

Site: Head and neck, trunk, upper limb, lower limb, and other and unspecified.

Residence. Florence and seven surrounding municipalities (about 610,000 inhabitants) and the other 43 municipalities (about 560,000 residents). In the city of Florence the Dermatology University Department, has been active in early diagnosis and in skin health promotion activities since the 1980s. Most of the municipalities not surrounding Florence are rural areas quite far from dermatology services promoting melanoma early diagnosis campaigns.

To evaluate the changes which occurred over time in the relationship between melanoma thickness and the above mentioned variables, the distribution of thickness according to such variables was evaluated in two periods: 1985-1987 and 1995-1997.

The distribution of Breslow categories for each variable was evaluated by means of Chi 2 test. When there were less than 5 expected cases in one cell, the Fisher's exact test was performed.

For the most recent period, 1995-1997, the effect of the above mentioned variables was also evaluated in a logistic models comparing thick tumours (> 3 mm) 59 cases to thin ones (<  = 1 mm), 227 cases.

Results

In the RTT area 260 cutaneous malignant melanomas were diagnosed in 1985-1987 [121 (46.5 %) among males and 139 (53.5 %) among females] and 490 in 1995-1997 [217 (44.3 %) among males and 273 (55.7 %) among females]. No cases were diagnosed among children (0-14 years) in the two periods. The mean incidence rate (standardised on the European population) was 6.4 per 100,000/year in both sexes in 1985-1987 and 10.7 among males and 11.7 among females during 1995-1997. The percentage of histologically verified cases increased from 90.8 % in 1985-1987 to 95.5 % in 1995-1997.

The present analysis was restricted to those cases for which the information on Breslow thickness was available, 182/260 (70.0 %) in 1985-87 and 387/490 (79 %) in 1995-1997, respectively.

In Table I the distribution of the clinical and demographic variables according to the Breslow levels is shown for the two periods.

In 1985-1987 thick melanomas (> 3 mm) were diagnosed predominantly among males (males to females ratio
M/F = 1.7) particularly in older subjects (especially > 70 years), in nodular melanoma and among residents in municipalities not surrounding the city of Florence. There were no significant differences according to skin site.

From 1985-87 to 1995-97 there had been a general shift towards thinner tumours for all the analysed variables. The overall percentage of thin tumours (<  = 1 mm) was 29.1 % in 1985-87 and 58.7 % in 1995-97; the proportion of intermediate thick level (1-3 mm) reduced from 42.9 % in 1985-87 to 26.1 % in 1995-97 and the thick ones (> 3 mm) decreased from 28.0 % to 15.2 %.

In 1995-1997, thick melanomas were still lower among females (12.9 %) than among males (18.5 %) but not significantly. The highest prevalence of thick melanomas was among older subjects (33.7 % of melanoma diagnosed in subjects older than 70 years) and especially for nodular type (21/38, 55.3 %). No differences were evidenced according to skin site and place of residence.

In Table II the results of a logistic multivariate analysis performed on 286 cases diagnosed in 1995-1997 and with Breslow thickness <  = 1 or > 3 mm are shown. The risk of having a diagnosis of a thick melanoma, > 3 mm (n.59), was evaluated in comparison of the diagnosis of a thin melanoma, <  = 1 mm (n.227). Melanomas thicker than 3 mm, after adjustment for other variables, were highly likely to be nodular (OR = 112.3, 95 % C.I. 25.7-490.1) or of other type (excluded SSM) (OR = 8.8; 95 % C.I. = 3.6-21.5) than SSM, and to develop in subjects older than 70 years (OR = 16.4; 95 % C.I. 4.0-67.3) than in those aged 51-70 years. There were no significant differences according to gender, residences and sites.

Discussion

The incidence rates of skin melanoma in the RTT area have doubled over the analysed period from 6.1 per 100,000 (European standard) in 1985 to 12.3 in 1997. Moreover, we observed a striking improvement in thickness distribution. In fact, the proportion of thin melanoma (<  = 1 mm) doubled from 29.7 % in 1985-87 to 58.7 % in 1995-97 and that for thick (> 3 mm) ones almost halved from 28.0 % to 15.2 %. However, a generally accepted worrisome point is that the incidence rates of thick forms are stable or even slightly increasing. Therefore, the knowledge of variables associated with late melanoma diagnosis could be of straightforward importance to better gear melanoma prevention strategies [6]. Also in RTT area, incidence rates of thick lesions showed no reduction over time (data not shown).

The present series showed that in central Italy during 1995-1997 the most relevant determinants of thick melanoma were nodular type and older age at diagnosis, as evidenced in Australia [11] and in Sweden [14].

In 1995-1997 case-series we found that 50.9 % of melanomas thicker than 3 mm were in patients older than 70 years and that 35.6 % of thick tumours belonged to nodular type. Such figures agreed with previously published data from several countries with higher melanoma incidence rates [9-12, 14, 15]. Nodular type was the strongest determinant of the risk of thick melanoma diagnosis, being associated to a very high OR value (OR = 112).

Interestingly, during the period analysed, from 1985 to 1997, there were some changes among the factors involved in the presentation of thick melanoma.

Males had a higher risk of having a diagnosis of thick melanoma than females during 1985-87; but this effect disappeared in 1995-97. Results on gender as a risk factor for thick melanoma vary among studies, and the lack of differences between sexes has been also evidenced among more than 700 cases in the US [9] and among more than 900 Australian cases when tumour type was taken into account [11]. Presumably, the well known lower awareness of males on their health and on skin signs, in comparison with females [19], was also present in central Italy during the mid-1980s leading to a worse melanoma thickness distribution for males. It is probable that the improvement in education about melanoma recorded in the last decade, and indirectly supported by the finding of an increasing percentage of "thin" forms, may have bridged the gap between genders, strongly reducing the effect associated with male sex as predictor of late diagnosis.

Our data did not support the finding of an higher risk for the head/neck site and, in agreement with that evidenced also by Chamberain [11] and Hanrahan [15], tumour site was not related to thickness. Therefore, two widely accepted predictors of late diagnosis according to previous studies, i.e. male gender and anatomic site, were no longer found to be associated with thick melanoma when allowance for other variables was made and once focussing on more recent data. According to our study, multivariate analysis of recent population-based incidence data showed
that only histotype (NM and other non SSM forms) and age older than 70 were significant predictors of thick lesions.

Interestingly, no clear-cut effect was indeed found associated with residence place, defined as municipality of Florence and surrounding areas versus other peripheral municipalities. In Florence, the main municipality of the RTT area, a University Dermatology Department is active. This institution has been carrying out both early diagnosis activities and educational campaigns in the population [20]. Presumably, during the late-1980s, the catchment population for such activities was mainly resident in the municipality of Florence or in the surrounding ones, this may contribute to explain the higher risk for thicker melanoma during 1985-87 in subjects living far from this institution. The extension of such activities, the greater awareness of general practitioners and the increased expertise of dermatologists have contributed to a global improvement of diagnosis all over the area. In fact, the shift towards thinner melanomas was evidenced in both sexes, in all the age-groups, for all types, in all sites and also in all municipalities of residence.

A strong point of this study is that the present series derived from a population-based registry, therefore it described a mean value for each subject in the resident population, independently from the place of diagnosis. However, since the RTT collects pathology reports from all the pathology services in the registry area and from the main ones of the region, it is possible that the expertise among general pathologists varies among services and in comparison with dermopathologists (weakness point). This may be the reason for the relevant percentage of melanomas without type specification (51/387, 13.2 %) and/or without information on Breslow thickness (103/490, 21.0 % in 1995-97).

The results of the present study showed that also in central Italy the main target population for improved future preventive activity should be older subjects, but not predominantly males. However, some limitations in the improving melanoma screening in old subjects should be taken into account. As patients' awareness of melanoma signs and symptoms is associated with reduced Breslow depth, older age is associated with a decreased likelihood of performing skin self-examination [19]. Regarding future efforts in improving detection of nodular histotype, it is accepted that NMs are associated with sensation and bleeding more often than SSMs [15]. Unfortunately, these are late signs of suspicion, associated with already well developed disease. As previously shown, the most widely used rule for early diagnosis of melanoma, i.e. the ABCD rule, has been developed with the purpose of improving the early diagnosis of superficial spreading melanomas, while it scarcely applies to nodular type [21]. Therefore, the future challenge to fighting thick melanoma is how to better involve older subjects in prevention activities. The investigation and the refinement of symptoms and signs associated with early diagnosis of nodular melanoma, if existing at all, may additionally represent a key point for the improvement of the educational message about melanoma prevention for the future.

Article accepted on 17/10/2002

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