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Difference between real and perceived power of dermoscopical methods for detection of malignant melanoma


European Journal of Dermatology. Volume 13, Number 3, 288-93, May 2003, Clinical report


Summary  

Author(s) : SCHIFFNER, Oliver WILDE, Julia SCHIFFNER-ROHE, Wilhelm STOLZ , Clinic of Dermatology and Allergology Hospital Munich-Schwabing, Kölner Platz 1, D-80804 Mnchen, Germany .

Summary : Clear proceedings in detection of malignant melanoma and monitoring of melanocytic nevi (MN) have been achieved by dermoscopy in recent years: sensitivity to 95% is possible for experts. Does patients’ confidence in methods for detection of malignant melanoma -- most important for adherence in follow-up -- reflect this diagnostic power? A self-administered survey was performed in 210 consecutive patients at 13 private dermatological practices and the department of Dermatology of the University of Regensburg. Confidence was assessed by a 5-step ordinal scale ranging from 1 to 5 (higher values indicate higher confidence) and willingness-to-pay (wtp) as health-economic instrument for naked-eye inspection (NEI), handheld dermoscopy (HHD), digital dermoscopy (DD), and teledermoscopy (TD)\; additional, wtp for a hypothetical method promising 100% accuracy. Data of 143 patients (response rate 69.5%\; mean age 37 years, 58% female) could be analysed. Mean confidence was 1.9  0.9 for NEI, 2.8  0.9 for HHD, 4.5  0.7 for DD, and 4.7  0.5 for TD. Mean wtp per examination was 0.64%  1.1 of monthly income for NEI, 1.1%  1.9 for HHD, 2.8%  3.3 for DD, 3.1%  4.6 for TD, and 5.0%  7.8 for hypothetical method. Differences between methods were statistically significant. Compared to the hypothetical method, NEI achieved only 14.9%, HHD 24.8%, DD 58.4%, and TD 60% of maximum confidence. This study was performed without any influence on routine information for patients. Results therefore represent patients’ actual knowledge of dermoscopical methods in daily dermatological practices. Patients’ confidence was highest for TD, HHD was clearly underestimated. Willingness-to-pay in HHD, DD, and TD was at least 40% below a hypothetical method promising 100% accuracy. Better information about diagnostic accuracy of methods available is necessary to increase patients’ knowledge and confidence.

Keywords : Malignant melanoma, dermoscopy, willingness-to-pay, patients’ confidence, pharmacoeconomic outcome, utility value

Pictures

ARTICLE

Auteur(s) : Roman SCHIFFNER, Oliver WILDE, Julia SCHIFFNER-ROHE, Wilhelm STOLZ

Clinic of Dermatology and Allergology Hospital Munich-Schwabing, Kölner Platz 1, D-80804 Mnchen, Germany

Reprints: R. Schiffner Fax: (+49) 89 3068 3918 E-mail: jr.schiffnert-online.de

Article accepted on 18/03/2003

Since the introduction of dermoscopy for differentiation of benign and malignant pigmented skin lesions [1, 2] its superiority to naked-eye inspection has been clearly proven [3-5]. Different algorithms have been developed to standardize the diagnostic procedures [6-9]. At present, experienced examiners can even reach a sensitivity up to 95% [4, 5, 9]. Similar values were achieved by computer-based expert systems for melanocytic lesions using digital dermoscopy [10-15]. Digital images also allow the possibility of teledermoscopy by connecting private dermatological practices with specialists at a dermoscopy center [16-20]. For regular monitoring of melanocytic nevi (MN), simultaneous comparison of images is essential and digital dermoscopy appears to be most practicable [21-24]. Its value for early recognition of malignant melanoma during short-term follow-up, but also dependence on patient’s compliance could be shown [24, 25]. Compliance depends both on confidence of the highest safety in correct diagnosis and on impact on quality of life induced by recommended follow-up examinations. Therefore we performed a patient survey evaluating different diagnostic tools from the patients’ point of view: naked-eye inspection (NEI), handheld dermoscopy (HHD), digital dermoscopy (DD), teledermoscopy (TD), and a hypothetical method promising 100% accuracy. Two questions should be answered: 

1. Does patients’ confidence increase from NEI to dermoscopical methods? This fact would support the necessity of implementing these methods, to justify patients’ confidence. 

2. How large is the difference between patients’ confidence – measured by willingness-to-pay – in present diagnostic methods and a method promising 100% safety? In the case of markedly lower confidence in comparison to achievable sensitivity, lack of information of patients in the present diagnostic power of dermoscopy could be suggested and information should be provided to improve patients’ confidence and compliance.

Material and Methods

Setting

The study was performed at private dermatological practices and at the department of Dermatology of the University of Regensburg, Bavaria, Germany. Inclusion criteria for investigators were long-time experience in handheld dermoscopy and the presence of at least one machine for digital dermoscopy.

Survey

210 self-developed questionnaires were sent to the study centers (15 each) and distributed to consecutive patients (equal or older than 18 years of age). All patients signed an informed consent. The questionnaire was self-administered without help from the investigators and returned by mail to the department of Dermatology of the University of Regensburg.

Assessments

Assessment of the investigators

– age, sex
– experience in handheld and digital dermoscopy
– type of machine for digital dermoscopy

Assessment of the patients

Demographic assessments

– age, sex, profession
– monthly income per household after taxes for standardization of willingness-to-pay assessment
– newcomer or repeat consultation patient for examination of pigmented skin lesions
– number of MN per patient
– history of malignant melanoma
– number of excised MN until survey
– recommendation of investigator for regular follow-up
– patient’s estimation for own risk of malignant melanoma

Confidence in diagnostic methods

Two methods for evaluation of confidence for NEI, HHD, DD, and TD were used to increase the meaningfulness of results:
1. 5-step ordinal scale ranging from 1 to 5. 1 represents the lowest and 5 the highest possible confidence.
2. Willingness-to-pay
This health-state utility could be proved to be a valuable instrument to measure both patients’ contentedness with a treatment modality and quality of life in dermatological patients [26-29]. Besides the advantage of comparability of results over all indications, the question is easier to understand for the patients and gives them the possibility of an open-ended answer in contrast to an ordinal scale. We transfered the classical method into evaluation of patients` confidence in diagnostic methods. In theory, the more a patient is voluntarily willing to pay, the more she/he is confident and vice versa. Wtp was assessed with the following questions (question asked in German):

How much money are you voluntary willing to pay for the following methods for examination of your pigmented skin lesions?
per examination of your pigmented skin lesions with naked-eye inspection   
per examination of your pigmented skin lesions with handheld dermoscopy  
per examination of your pigmented skin lesions with digital dermoscopy   
per examination of your pigmented skin lesions with teledermoscopy using additionally the opinion of an expert via internet   
Evaluation of wtp is often said to depend on the income situation of the persons questioned: the more people earn, the more people are able to pay for treatment or diagnostics. A comparison of wtp data of patients with different incomes would therefore be difficult. This problem can be avoided by analyzing percentages of monthly income instead of absolute monetary values. For this reason we also evaluated patient’s monthly income after taxes.

Confidence in a hypothetical method promising 100% safety

Wtp for a hypothetical method promising 100% safety was assessed for standardization reasons (question asked in German):

 
Patient’s confidence in the diagnostic measures available (NEI, HHD, DD, TD) was now assessed on the basis of the hypothetical method by individually comparing wtp of each method with wtp for hypothetical method. Example: a patient is willing to pay  80. – per single examination of pigmented skin lesions for the 100% method and 40.– for NEI. Confidence is therefore 50% for NEI compared to 100% safety. This calculation was performed in every patient for each diagnostic method.

Evaluation of impairment of quality of life

Since no quality of life questionnaire is available for evaluation of impairment of quality of life due to a diagnostic intervention we used the following methods for assessment:
1. 5-step ordinal scale ranging from 1 to 5. 1 represents the lowest and 5 the highest impairment in quality of life due to the necessity of regular follow-up.
2. Willingness-to-pay as quality of life instrument [26-28].
Wtp in the classical sense is a parameter for the evaluation of quality of life by asking the patients how much money they would be willing to pay for an imaginary therapy which would be able to release them from their disease. In theory, the more the patients are willing to pay, the more they are impaired and vice versa. This principle was adopted by using following self-developed question (question asked in German):

Imagine you could avoid the necessity for regular follow-up of your melanocytic nevi by paying a sum of money per month.
At present, which sum of Euro  per month would you be willing to pay to avoid regular follow-up?   

Additionally, quality of life impairment was assessed for patients with a history of malignant melanoma (question asked in German):



Imagine you could avoid the presence of malignant melanoma in your personal history by paying a sum of money per month.
At present, which sum of Euro per month would you be willing to pay?   

Again, percentages of monthly income were calculated. Using these data, utility values could be calculated for comparison of impairment in quality of life with other dermatological diseases [27, 28, 30].
Utilities are cardinal values which are assigned to each health state on a scale that is established by assigning a value between 0 and 1. In our case, wtp could range between 0% of monthly income (no reduction of quality of life) and 100% of monthly income (maximum reduction of quality of life). The utility values reflect the quality of the actual patients’ health status and allow morbidity to be combined into a single weighted measure.

Statistical methods

Descriptive statistics

Descriptive statistics are presented for each assessment concerning data of study centers, patients’ demographics, evaluation of confidence, and quality of life impairment. For categorical data (e.g. sex, profession), absolute and relative frequencies (n, %), for continuous data (wtp) and qualitative ordinal data (ordinal scale) mean values and standard deviations are given.

Inferential analysis

Ordinal measures (confidence, quality of life impairment) were tested using non-parametric methods: comparison between newcomers and follow-up patients was performed using Wilcoxon rank sum test. Confidence in different diagnostic methods was tested by individual comparison using Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test.
Wtp (absolute and relative values) for different methods were compared individually with paired-sample t-tests. Differences in wtp between newcomers and follow-up patients were detected by t-tests for independent samples. For all tests the two-sided approach was chosen. Spearman correlation analysis was used to detect potential correlation between patients’ income and wtp.

Results

Study centers

14 study centers were involved: 13 private dermatological practices and the department of Dermatology of the University of Regensburg, Bavaria, Germany.

Assessments in investigators

Mean age of examiners was 42 years ranging from 32 to 62. 12 (86%) were male. Mean experience in HHD was 7.7 years (ranging from 2 to 15), 3 years in DD (8 months to 7 years).

Survey

The survey was performed from September to December 2001. 146 of 210 (response rate 69.5%) questionnaires were returned, 143 (98%) of them could be used for analysis. 3 patients had to be excluded due to age under 18.

Assessments in patients

Mean age was 37 ± 11.3 years ranging from 19 to 75. 60 patients (42%) were male and 83 (58%) female. Profession groups were as follows: 46.8% employees, 12.6% civil servants, 11.9% housewives, 9.1% selfemployed, 7% workers, 3.5% pensioners, 1.4% unemployed, and 0.7% in education.
Mean income per household per month after taxes was  2602.– ± 1332.– (ranging from 256.– to 6136. –). 35 patients (25%) were newcomers and 106 (75%) repeat visits for follow-up of MN. There were no statistically significant differences between distributions of age, sex, and professions between newcomers and repeat visit patients.
13 patients (9.1%) had less than 10 MN, 49 (33.8%) between 10 and 50, 46 (32.4%) between 50 to 100, 21 (14.8%) between 100 and 200, and 14 (9.9%) more than 200. 18 patients (13%) had a malignant melanoma history. At least one MN was excised in 81 (57%) patients in the survey.
After examination of MN a regular follow-up was recommended by the investigator for 126 (88%) patients. Patients without a malignant melanoma history estimated their risk for the development of malignant melanoma at a mean of 23.3% ± 21.6 which was clearly lower than for patients with a malignant melanoma history: 42.1% ± 24.6.

Confidence in diagnostic methods

1. Ordinal scale. Confidence in NEI was at a mean of 1.89 ± 0.95 (newcomer: 2.06 ± 0.96; repeat consulations: 1.72 ± 0.96), in HHD 2.82 ± 0.94 (2.96 ± 0.91; 2.7 ± 0.96), in DD 4.45 ± 0.69 (4.45 ± 0.77; 4.51 ± 0.56), and 4.71 ± 0.51 (4.69 ± 0.54; 4.72 ± 0.48) in TD (see figure 1 and Table I).

Table I. Evaluation of confidence and willingness-to-pay for different diagnostic methods (differences statistically significant).
Diagnostic method Confidence Relative willingness-to-pay Absolute willingness-to-pay
(mean values of ordinal scale ranging from 1 to 5; 1 lowest, 5 higest confidence) (relative monetary values %

of monthly income per examination)
(absolute monetary values

in Euro per examination)
Naked-eye inspection 1.89 ± 0.95 0.64 ± 1.1 13.70 ± 16.70
Handheld dermoscopy 2.82 ± 0.94 1.1 ± 1.9 22.80 ± 23.40
Digital dermoscopy 4.45 ± 0.69 2.8 ± 3.3 53.80 ± 46.10
Teledermoscopy 4.71 ± 0.51 3.1 ± 4.6  55.30 ± 47.60
Hypothetical method promising 100% accuracy not evaluated 5.0 ± 7.8 92.10 ± 76.10
Differences in values between newcomers and repeat consultations were not statistically significant. Comparison of values for confidence was statistically significant between all methods (p < 0.05).
2. Willingness-to-pay. Mean wtp per single examination of MN was 0.64% ± 1.1 of monthly income (13.70 ± 16.70) for NEI, 1.1% 1.9 (22.80 ± 23.40) for HHD, 2.8% ± 3.3 (53.80 ± 46.10) for DD, and 3.1% ± 4.6 (55.30 ± 47.60) for TD (see figure 2and Table I). Again, values for newcomers and repeat consultations showed no statistically significant differences. Differences of values for wtp were statistically significant between all methods (p-values: NEI versus HHD: p < 0.001/HHD versus DD: p < 0.001/DD versus TD: p = 0.042). Since wtp values for diagnostic methods were compared within each single patient an influence of income could be avoided.
Correlation analysis between absolute wtp (in) and income after taxes revealed a positive correlation: patients with higher income were generally willing to pay more per each diagnostic method than patients with a lower income (p-values < 0.05; correlation coefficients NEI: 0.21; HHD: 0.28; DD: 0.24; TD: 0.17). Correlation between relative wtp (% of monthly income) and income after taxes showed a negative correlation: patients with higher income wanted to pay on average a lower percentage of income per diagnostic method than patients with a lower income (p-values < 0.05; correlation coefficients NEI: – 0.16; HHD: – 0.24; DD: – 0.47; – TD: 0.33).
Spearmans correlation coefficient analysis between willingness-to-pay and ordinal scale data considering different values for diagnostic methods revealed a statistically significant correlation between both kinds of measurement (p-values < 0.05; correlation coefficients NEI: 0.27; HHD: 0.23; DD: 0.18; TD: 0.20).

Confidence in a hypothetical method promising 100% safety

Mean wtp was 5.0% ± 7.8 of monthly income (92.10 ± 76.10) and therefore markedly higher than for the highest wtp assessed for a diagnostic method available at present. After transforming wtp data of each patient given for NEI, HHD, DD, and TD to percentages of 100% method, individual standardized wtp-values could be calculated. Mean confidence (in terms of standardized wtp) in NEI was only 14.9%, in HHD 24.8%, in DD 58,4%, and in TD 60% (see figure 3 and Table I).

Evaluation of impairment of quality of life

1. Ordinal scale

Mean value for impairment of quality of life due to regular follow-up was 1.7 ± 1.1 and therefore a slight impairment in quality of life can be suggested. There was no statistically significant difference between newcomers and repeat consultation patients.

2. Willingness-to-pay

Mean relative wtp for hypothetically avoiding a regular follow-up was 0.5% ± 0.8 (absolute wtp: 12.00 ± 17.19) corresponding to a utility value of 0.995. Mean relative wtp to hypothetically dismissing the history of malignant melanoma (assessed in patients with malignant melanoma history only) was observed as 4.7% ± 8.3 (89.00 ± 131.50) with a corresponding utility value of 0.953.

Discussion

For the first time in dermatological research, various diagnostic methods for the detection of malignant melanoma and monitoring of MN were evaluated from the patient’s point of view. Both assessments used for evaluation (ordinal scale and willingness-to-pay) provided identical results showing a statistically significant increase in confidence from NEI to TD. In principle, this fact confirms scientific knowledge: sensitivity is lowest for NEI and increases using dermoscopical methods [3-5]. Therefore implementation of dermoscopy is inevitable for dermatologists to ensure both optimal diagnostic accuracy and best patient’s confidence. Nevertheless, the diagnostic power of experienced investigators was clearly underestimated by the patients. The markedly higher confidence of patients in dermoscopical methods using computer techniques (DD and TD were judged about twice as safe as HHD) might represent higher confidence in technique than in human beings in our times.
Furthermore, and this – from our point of view – is an even more important result, there is a distinct gap between patients’ level of confidence for diagnostic methods available at present and a hypothetical tool with 100% safety. It could be suggested that the type of assessment (comparison to a hypothetical 100%-method) could influence the patients’ answers and it could be expected that patients want to pay most for 100% safety. Still, the extent of the difference with existing dermoscopical methods was surprising. Compared to this hypothetical method, TD (which uses the knowledge and experience of a specialist in dermoscopy) achieved only 60% confidence, HHD even only 24.8%. The power of present diagnostic methods was clearly underestimated by the patients. It might be suggested that this false impression of diagnostic power also influences patient’s compliance which indeed is extremely low in follow-up programs: mean annual drop-out rate is described as 11.2% during follow-up among patients with thin melanomas for whom follow-up could be proven to be essential for survival [31]; from patients offered a regular follow-up of their MN for prevention of malignant melanoma, only 46.2% joined the program [32]. An improvement of compliance by increasing information about the diagnostic power of present diagnostic methods, especially when using dermoscopy, seems to be necessary.

There was no difference in confidence between newcomers and repeat consultation patients. This underlines the necessity for better information for patients, concerning the power of dermoscopy, since experience in examinations with the repeat consultation patients did not positively influence confidence. In contrast to patients’ underestimation of the power of diagnostic methods for the detection of malignant melanoma, their own risk for the development of malignant melanoma was overestimated (e.g. patients with a malignant melanoma history estimated their risk as 42.1%, whereas the true risk is about 3% [33, 34]. Therefore patients’ visits at regular follow-up seem to be more motivated by fear of malignant melanoma than by confidence in the diagnostic methods. It should be underlined that the assessment of wtp was exclusively used to measure confidence in diagnostic methods. The data should not and cannot be used as a basis for fixing prices for DD or TD, especially regarding the fact that patients with a lower average income were willing to pay less money per method (in terms of absolute values).

Concerning quality of life, patients feel only slightly impaired due to the necessity for regular follow-ups. Utility values as calculated from wtp allow a comparison of levels of quality of life impairment to other dermatological conditions. According to data evaluated with the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) [35], one of the most frequently used quality of life questionnaires in dermatology, utility values provide similar quality of life impairments: patients with chronic skin diseases, especially if visible to the public, are clearly more impaired than patients with malignant melanoma (see Table II).

Table II. Comparison of different health-states measured by willingness-to-pay for calculation of utility-values (1 represents maximal possible health, 0 death).
Reference Health-state utility-value
present study necessity for regular follow-up of melanocytic nevi 0.995
present study malignant melanoma in history 0.953
Ellis et al [30] psoriasis vulgaris less than 10% body surface area affected, no PASI-value* given 0.89
Schiffner et al [32] nevus flammeus on the face after laser treatment 0.88
Schiffner et al [29] psoriasis vulgaris pre treatment 0.862
more 10% body surface area affected, mean PASI-value* 14.9
psoriasis vulgaris post treatment 0.885
mean PASI-value* 5.6
*PASI: Psoriasis Area and Severity Index

The following conclusions can be drawn from our study:

1. This study was performed without any influence on routine information for patients. Results therefore represent patients’ actual knowledge of dermoscopical methods in daily dermatological practice.
2. Patients’ confidence was highest for TD including the opinion of a specialist in dermoscopy. The diagnostic power of HHD was clearly underestimated.
3. Confidence for HHD, DD, and TD – the best methods available at present – was at least 40% below a hypothetical method promising 100% safety. A lack of information in patients of the diagnostic power of dermoscopy has to be stated.
4. Since clinical efficacy and cost-effectiveness for follow-up programmes are highly dependent on compliance, more patient information is necessary concerning the type and accuracy of present diagnostic tools for detection of malignant melanoma and follow-up of MN. n

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How much money are you voluntary willing to pay for a hypothetical diagnostic machine providing you 
a 100% correct diagnosis for your pigmented skin lesions?

 per examination of your pigmented skin lesions with this machine


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